As the U.S. grapples with soaring gas prices, many pundits have put the blame for the rise on the shoulders of the frenetically expanding economies in China and India. There's just too much demand and the market can't keep up, they say.

Want proof of just how fast that Chinese economy is growing? Try this: The total number of credit cards in China nearly doubled in the past year, according to the People's Bank of China, which is the nation's central bank.

A recent report at
ShanghaiDaily.com (article included below) laid out the details: "China had more than 104.73 million credit cards in circulation at the end of March, up 92.9 percent since a year ago."The report goes on to say that "China's total bank cards, including debit and credit cards, topped 1.58 billion by March 31, up 29.1 percent over the year." As those numbers indicate, debit cards are far and away the most popular choice of plastic. They make up 93 percent of the card market. Still, a near doubling of the number of credit cards in the world's most populous country is an event that is sure to draw attention, especially as companies from around the world race to do business in China.

This growth coincides with a spending boom in India, the world's second-most populous country. The
WashingtonPost.com has a fascinating article about buying habits of the 20- and 30-somethings in India. The article says younger Indians are charging items like flat-screen TVs, iPods and sunglasses in ever-growing numbers. The big problem in India: huge interest rates. According to the Washington Post, "In India, even the lowest credit card interest rates hover around 20 percent, and the average lending rate is 34 percent, which includes a 12 percent service tax on the interest." Holy Cow! (as the late great Harry Caray would say!)

That's two to three times the
average lending rate for cards in the U.S., according to CreditCards.com's latest rate report. Add on the Indian government's "service tax" on the interest, and those rates for consumers in India become downright outrageous. The prevailing thought seems to be that this Asian growth isn’t going to stop anytime soon. Can it continue at the breakneck pace that we’re seeing now? Noper...growth like this never lasts forever, especially when it may be creating a generation of folks buried in debt with 34 percent APRs. It certainly bears watching, though, as Americans deal with their own credit card burden.

Here's the article from the ShanghaiDaily.com...

Number of China's credit card holders doubles in quarter
Created: 2008-6-25 - Author:Zhang Fengming

THE number of Chinese credit cards almost doubled in the first quarter, the central bank said yesterday. China had more than 104.73 million credit cards in circulation at the end of March, up 92.9 percent since a year ago, the People's Bank of China said yesterday on its Website.

China's total bank cards, including debit and credit cards, topped 1.58 billion by March 31, up 29.1 percent over the year, the central bank said.
Debit cards still dominate China's bank card market, accounting for 93.4 percent of the market total.

Bank card-based transactions accounted for 25.6 percent of the country's total retail sales, up from last year's 21.9 percent. Transaction value on bank cards rose 58 percent year on year to 824.6 billion yuan (US$119.5 billion).By the end of March, 203 institutions, including 168 domestic banks, had joined UnionPay, the sole trans-bank transfer system in China. China is adding point-of-sale card terminals at shops and restaurants to ease payments by bank cards, especially in the run-up to the Olympics when a large number of foreign tourists is expected.

Banks are also installing more automatic teller machines to extend their networks.About 804,500 merchants accept bank cards while there are 137,600 ATMs on the mainland. Encouraging the use of bank cards help cut money laundering and make it easier to track merchants' business transactions and tax payments.

Global banking executives see China's credit-card business as promising, although no quick profits are expected within three years, an industry survey said earlier. Bank of East Asia issued its yuan-backed debit cards in May, the first overseas bank to issue yuan-denominated bank cards in China. Banks including HSBC and Standard Chartered are awaiting regulatory approval for their own cards.

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Posted by John B. Frank Wednesday, June 25, 2008 0 comments

"It seems like every company has a blog section of its own, and is also interested in what the blogosphere is saying about it," said Paul Verna, senior analyst at eMarketer.

Word-of-mouth is still a powerful marketing tactic, and since influential bloggers are so effective at spreading the word about their likes and dislikes, blogger demographics continue to matter. So, excluding major businesses and splogs, who blogs now?

Although most researchers have noted a young skew to the blog audience, a BIGresearch study found that the average age of adult bloggers is actually 37.6. (see chart on left)

A Deloitte & Touche study of blog usage by age found a direct relationship: the younger the user, the more likely he or she was to read or keep a blog on a weekly basis. For example, 55% of millennials (ages 13 to 24) surveyed read a blog, and the percentages declined for every age cohort in the study until reaching just 16% for matures (ages 61 to 75).

Similarly, 35% of millennials kept a blog, whereas only 1% of matures did. The age groups in between—Generation X (ages 25 to 41) and baby boomers (ages 42 to 60)—fell between those two extremes.

With regard to the ethnicity of US adult bloggers, BIGresearch found that 69.7% were white, 20% were Hispanic, 12.2% were African-American and 3.7% were Asian. These percentages were essentially in line with the US Census Bureau's most recent estimates of the demographic breakdown of the US population, allowing for differences in methodologies, mixed-race respondents and overlap between Hispanics and individuals of other ethnicities.

Once a haven for techies, there are now blogs for everything from celebrity gossip to political commentary to the most mundane personal minutiae. By 2012, more than 145 million people—or 67% of the US Internet population—will be reading blogs at least once per month.

The number of people creating blogs in the US will also grow, reaching 34.7 million people by 2012—16% of the Internet population. By contrast, there were some 22.6 million US bloggers in 2007, a number that correlates to 12% of Internet users.

Buoyed by these massive levels of consumer engagement, US blog advertising will reach $746 million in 2012, up from $283 million in 2007.

Posted by John B. Frank Monday, June 23, 2008 0 comments

Payment-Card Reporting Nonsense...Another expensively bad idea from congressional Democrats.
By Phil Kerpen

Last week the House Ways and Means Committee marked up the so-called Alternative Minimum Tax Relief Act of 2008. As expected, the Democrats are proposing several permanent tax hikes in exchange for a provision to protect the middle class from the unintended consequences of the AMT. What wasn’t expected was
the addition of a nasty new regulation.

The bill now includes a $30.98 billion capital-gains tax increase on the carried interest of general partners in investment partnerships and a $13.57 billion income-tax hike for oil companies. Basis reporting, which would require financial firms to report capital-gains basis information to the IRS, was thankfully not included in the bill.

However, payment-card reporting was. This is real bad news.

Payment-card reporting would require banks and other providers of merchant account services to report credit- and debit-card payments to the IRS. All credit-card sales essentially would be pre-audited, with detailed sales information given to the government.

The idea is to stop tax cheats, although the effectiveness of such a system is far from clear. Meanwhile, this new regulatory burden will cost credit-card networks, banks, and other payment systems in terms of time, money, and personnel. These costs will necessarily be passed on to businesses and retailers in the form of higher credit-card fees, and to consumers in the form of higher prices.

With tens of millions of payment-card transactions taking place each day, the amount of information reported to the IRS in this new scheme will dwarf anything that exists today. The collection, transmission, and storage of such a massive amount of personal data also raises serious concerns about privacy and security, particularly for the many smaller businesses that use Social Security numbers as tax ID numbers.

The Center for Democracy and Technology
has explained that payment-card reporting will undo the standard practice of deleting personal information once it has served its purpose. Considering the rising incidence of online identity theft, this is a particularly bad idea.

Making matters worse, payment-card processors will be deputized by the IRS not only to collect personal data, but to collect money, too.

Under backup withholding provisions of the bill, if a processor is unable to verify a merchant’s taxpayer ID number, the processor will be required to withhold 28 percent of that merchant’s gross transactions. Any smaller merchant caught in this net will suffer a cash-flow nightmare.Ironically, this big-government scheme is certain to elevate spending — the cost of building and maintaining a database of such vast scope would be considerable — with no guarantee that tax cheats will be caught and tax revenues will be recovered.

Companies that cheat on their taxes by underreporting income typically fail to report cash transactions, not the credit-card transactions that are clearly documented and would be available during an audit.And how will analyzing credit-card transactions allow the IRS to successfully identify companies for the purposes of auditing? The IRS has not demonstrated this.
Most likely, this program will result in unjustified and unnecessary audits.Payment-card reporting is another expensive bad idea from House Democrats. American taxpayers can only hope this extortion attempt fails, and that Congress passes AMT relief in a clean bill with no tax and regulatory hikes.

— Phil Kerpen is policy director for Americans for Prosperity.

Posted by John B. Frank 0 comments

Banks and credit card issuers have put significant efforts into marketing contactless and signature-based debit card payments, but they have failed to win over U.S. consumers, according to a survey by Gartner. This is important news for online and brick-and-mortar businesses. Consumers prefer alternative payment types -- such as a debit card and PIN -- that earn banks less revenue, but which consumers believe are more secure.

“Despite significant marketing campaigns by banks and card issuers to steer consumers towards using debit cards with a signature -- ostensibly so that the banks can earn more interchange revenue -- consumers prefer entering their personal identification number (PIN) to pay for groceries with their debit card over all types of signature-based card payments, whether credit or debit,” said
Avivah Litan, vice president and distinguished analyst at Gartner.

The findings are based on Gartner survey of 4,500 online U.S. adults conducted in August of 2007.

“Banks promote signature-based debit payments because they earn more fee revenue from card-accepting merchants, on the premise that they are riskier and more prone to theft, so the banks need to earn higher fees to compensate,” Ms. Litan said. “Fraud rates on signature-based debit card payments are at least 10 times higher, and banks usually eat these costs if they are incurred in a card-present (or store) environment. Higher interchange fees paid by merchants to banks and card issuers for signature-based transactions must offset these costs or else banks wouldn’t promote the signature variety.”

When shopping at grocery stories, consumers prefer debit card payments that require entry of a PIN despite the fact that only debit and credit card payments with physically signed receipts typically earn them reward points. Consumers’ least-favorite payment type when shopping for groceries is contactless (wireless) payments, and there is similarly small interest in using mobile phones for making payments.

Consumer Preferences: Gartner: If Making a Purchase at a Grocery Store, Respondents Were Asked to Rank Payment Methods

Ranking: 1 = Most Preferred and 7 = Least Preferred

Paying with Cash: 2.88
Using debit card and entering a PIN on a cash register device: 3.64
Using credit card and signing a payment receipt: 3.70
Using debit card and signing a payment receipt: 4.00
Using regular payment card (credit or debit), but not having to sign a payment receipt or enter a PIN: 4.08
Paying with a personal paper check: 4.41
Using contactless payment card that you just wave or swipe in front of a terminal: 5.28
Source: Gartner

“Brick-and-mortar businesses who accept electronic consumer payments should promote use of PIN-based debit card payments by steering consumers to them through payment terminal programs and/or by offering store-based incentive programs,” Ms. Litan said. “Businesses pay less to banks for PIN-based payments and since consumers prefer them anyway, this is a win-win strategy for all parties except credit card issuers and banks.”

Consumers who have been affected by the data breaches publicized in recent years are more prone to change their online payment behavior than other online or offline activities, such as shopping and e-mail preferences. These consumers are more likely to call the online store and give them their payment account number over the phone.

“Online businesses should therefore enhance their ability to offer secure automated phone payments,” Ms. Litan said. “For example, businesses can use a transaction number generated during the online shopping season to tie a purchase to an automated phone-based payment. For this customer base, online merchants should also promote alternative payments, such as PayPal and Bill Me Later, where interest in using them increases as age decreases.”

About this study

Additional information is available in the Gartner report “Consumer Preferences for Secure Payments Create Opportunities for Non-Banks."

Posted by John B. Frank Thursday, June 19, 2008 0 comments



Is Amazon Planning To Go Head-to-Head With PayPal?
Posted by Eric Savitz

Amazon.com (AMZN) has been aggressively rolling out a variety of Web-based services, including on-demand computing power and data storage. Could the company’s next move be to go after eBay (EBAY) subsidiary PayPal’s dominant franchise on online payments?

Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Derek Brown asserts in a research note this afternoon that Amazon “may soon launch a PayPal-esque Payments service for use by consumers and merchants across the Web, potentially siphoning growth and/or profit from eBay’s crown jewel.” Brown says that Amazon could launch such a service as soon as late summer or early fall of this year.

“We believe an Amazon Payments solution for use across the Web holds real promise,” he writes. Brown contends that Amazon “long-ago demonstrated that it understands (perhaps better than any company) the needs/wants of online retailers.” And he also says the company understands - maybe better than any company - the needs and wants of online buyers. “Coupling this pool of knowledge with its massive customer base, powerful technology platform and unique skills sets, Amazon.com may be among the best-positioned Internet companies to attempt to challenge PayPal’s growing dominance.”

Brown says taking on PayPal successfully would be no sure thing, but adds that it seems “equally foolish” to simply disregard the idea as just another PayPal wannabe. He notes that the company already offers a site called Amazon Payments that allows users to send money to any U.S. mobile number of e-mail address using credit card info on file with Amazon.com to fund the transaction. He also notes that the company already also offer Amazon Flexible Payment Services, “a set of APIs that allows the movement of money between any two entities.”

Brown also notes that Amazon.com job listings show a number of openings in the area of external payments; he quotes one of the listings as saying “there is incredible opportunity to further leverage our payment services assets.”

Meanwhile, Brown also contends that eBay may be readying a further tweak to its business model, with an additional reduction in listing fees combined with a hike in back-end success fees. He says the result in the long run would likely be more listings. But that’s a mixed blessing: he says it would creation an “even greater strain” on the company’s searching and finding algorithms.

Concerned about both the potential competition from Amazon in payments, and the disruption from a shifting business model, Brown today repeated his Sell rating on eBay, with a price target of $25. Today, eBay is up 16 cents, or 0.6%, to $28.97 . Amazon is off $1.06, or 1.3%, to $81.91.

Posted by John B. Frank 0 comments

Research and Markets has released an Online Consumer Payments Report in which it claims to examine the Past, the Present and the Future of Online Payments. Here's an overview:

Online consumer payment volumes continue to grow rapidly as more consumers warm to the online experience and begin to purchase goods and services online with an increasing appetite. As a result, the online consumer payments market is becoming competitive, fast moving and volatile. Having said this, the opportunities provided by online commerce are vast and should not be overlooked.

Scope

The scope of the discussion in this report is restricted to B2C (business-to-consumer) online commerce globally. In the B2C online commerce both goods and service sectors are considered. Although the bulk of the data provided covers Europe and the US, where possible general consumer trends are considered on a global scale. Online payment mechanisms discussed in this briefing include credit and debit cards, prepaid cards, eWallets and P2P payments solutions.

Highlights

Credit cards are the preferred method of payment online among consumers globally. However, ultimately the credit card does not perform well in a card-not-present context - the need to create 3D Secure protocols highlights this. Therefore, the credit card is flawed as an online payment tool and issuers must innovate to defend their share of the market from non-card providers. Indeed, PayPal has grown strongly into a major online payment solution provider. In 2007, €34.3 billion of PayPal transactions were made; equivalent in size to the value of card transactions in Austria. (anyone else feel that's an odd analogy???)

Reasons to Purchase Report:

Besides having a spare €3077 Euros (for the hard copy) ...the Online Consumer Payments examines the past, present and future of the online consumer payment market. It highlights which payment solutions have been developed, indicating the key components of a ‘winning’ online payment solution. Use this report to understand key trends relating to consumers and merchants behaviour online and their attitudes towards the online environment.

Key Topics Covered:

Overview
Catalyst
Summary
Table of figures
Table of tables
Introduction
What is this report about?
Who is the target reader?
Scope of the report
Our definition of an online consumer payment
Trends in Online Consumer Payments
Key findings

For more information visit: http://allpaynews.com/node/4443 or...
http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/d645a9/online_consumer_pa

Source: Datamonitor
Contacts:
Research and Markets: Laura Wood, Senior Manager
Fax (U.S.): 646-607-1907 Fax (outside U.S.): +353-1-481-1716
press@researchandmarkets.com

Posted by John B. Frank Wednesday, June 18, 2008 0 comments

Discover's Pulse EFT Network Provides Safety Tips
Press Release: Monday June 16, 2008


ATM Safety Tips to Follow as You Withdraw Cash for Your Next Summer Road Trip or Anytime Throughout the Year

HOUSTON--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- As part of its annual ATM & Debit Card Safety Awareness Month, this week the PULSE® debit network releases ATM Safety Tips. Although debit is a secure and convenient form of payment, it is a good idea for consumers to take some basic precautions when using their debit cards. As many vacationers make their way out of town this summer, trips to ATMs to withdraw cash are inevitable. Whether withdrawing before you leave town or when you arrive at your destination, follow these step-by-step safety tips before conducting your transaction:
  • Survey your surroundings:
    Pay attention to suspicious activity that may be occurring in your immediate area. If anything appears to be out of the ordinary, or if the ATM is obstructed from view or poorly lit, leave the area and try another location.
  • Take someone with you:
    Whenever possible, it is a good idea to take another person with you when using an ATM, especially at night.
  • Have your card ready:
    Minimize your time at the ATM by having your debit card out and ready to use. Do not let a stranger assist you in making a transaction, even if you have trouble or your card gets stuck. Never count your money while at the ATM.
  • Safeguard your personal identification number:
    Block the view of others when using the ATM by shielding the key pad when entering your personal identification number (PIN).
  • Look for possible fraudulent devices attached to the ATM:
    If the ATM appears to have any attachments or alterations to the card slot or key pad, do not use it. If possible, report the problem to the financial institution or ATM owner.

    A comprehensive list of ATM/debit card safety tips is available at:
    www.pulse-eft.com/public/group/consumer/atmdebitsafety.html.
    PULSE also offers a brochure containing fraud/identity theft prevention tips, which can be downloaded at:
    www.pulse-eft.com/public/group/consumer/atmdebitsafety/idtheft.html.
About PULSE

PULSE is one of the nations leading ATM/debit networks, currently serving more than 4,500 banks, credit unions and savings institutions across the country. PULSE is owned by Discover Financial Services (NYSE: DFS - News). The network links cardholders with more than 265,000 ATMs, as well as POS terminals at retail locations nationwide. The company is also a valued resource for industry research related to electronic payments and is committed to providing its participants with education on evolving products, services and trends in the payments industry. For more information, visit www.pulse-eft.com.

Source: PULSE

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Posted by John B. Frank Monday, June 16, 2008 0 comments

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Kapersky Calls for Mass Adoption of Card Readers

Kapersky Calls for Mass Adoption of Card Readers