Large companies will buy smaller firms for their technologies instead of investing in R&D.   by Alex Goldman:

A new report from J.P. Morgan suggests that the future of Internet business starts with consolidation in 2009, as the biggest companies buy the best of the small.

With the economy approaching zero or even negative growth, Internet companies are still under pressure to grow -- and the only way to do so is through acquisitions, J.P. Morgan Analyst and Managing Director Imran Khan wrote in a report.

Large companies have every reason to put money into mergers, he added.

For one reason, the stock price of smaller companies (those with market capitalizations under $1 billion) is getting cheaper, while the stock of larger companies (those with market caps over $5 billion) is not. While large companies' stock prices remains close in value now to their value at the start of the year, the stock of small companies has fallen in value by 23 percent, on average -- potentially making them a steal.

At the same time, acquisitions would give large companies access to the fruits of smaller companies' research and development, which is becoming increasingly critical as they trim their own research budgets. According to Khan, large companies have decreased the rate of growth of investment in R&D from 25 percent a year ago to a projected 9 percent this year...

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